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Reason one: the favorable expectations of the conference still exist, and it is difficult for the market to fall sharply under the stability. In fact, as I said in the morning post, expectations are always expectations, which are good in the medium and long term, but too strong short-term consistency can easily lead to a rebellious market. After all, this market is still driven by funds, otherwise it will be moderately relaxed in 11 years, and it will not be doubled after 14 years of wide credit!

Yesterday, after-hours heavy meeting enlarged the move, Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures index rose violently, and even the mid-night stocks rose by more than 8%, and the market was full of fanatical voices. However, Lao Liu is still calm, suggesting that there is a high probability of going high and going low, and it should be dealt with by high throwing and low sucking. Today, the market opened higher and closed the false negative line, which once again verified my judgment. Will the stock market continue to fall tomorrow?As for blue chips and white horses, because of today's high opening and low walking rhythm, they need to be repaired next. If they can't be quickly reversed, they will need to be shaken and consolidated for a few days. The style switch that should have been completed in November continued until December, and it was still a chaotic rhythm. Lao Liu judged that the aesthetics based on fundamentals, changing hands and trends would once again prevail.In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's high opening and low going are not unexpected in terms of technology. After all, it is not a good thing to expect too much consensus. In addition, yesterday's news blockade was quite strict, but the net outflow of domestic institutions was as high as 70 billion, and they would not chase after the empty space, so it is understandable to wash the dishes today.

For the next trend, Lao Liu also suggested in the long article of the Morning Post that if the closing price is below 3489.78 points, there is a high probability that the small yin and the small yang will fluctuate alternately. Then, after this wave of dishwashing knocks off the expectations of retail investors, it is estimated that it is the beginning of a new wave. In a word, in the short term, shock consolidation is still the second wave attack of winning three waves in the long term.Reason 3: the technical upward trend will not change, and it will continue to hit a new high after shock consolidation. Yesterday, Lao Liu suggested that it is necessary to do high-throwing and low-sucking treatment if it is too high and high-opening. The key is that the closing price cannot be higher than 3489.78 points. Now, to be honest, everything is just right. At present, the market is still standing above the 5-day line, and there is no structural pressure above it, which is also the technical basis for my small high point.Reason 2: the market style is still quite chaotic, and the main line of robots is difficult to support. Originally, it was expected that the blue chip and the white horse would set up a stage, and then the theme line would sing. As a result, today, both the weak robots and the food consumption with high opening and low walking showed signs of stagflation, and then it was crucial. Once these two new main lines were exhausted, it was estimated that they would face a chaotic cycle of rotation again.